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-   -   Picks/Homestead/SunAfternoon (https://montecarloforum.com/forum/nascar-racing-27/picks-homestead-sunafternoon-45822/)

Cowboy6622 11-10-2013 06:23 PM

Picks/Homestead/SunAfternoon
 
It's almost over...

Homestead feels like the last day of school. Your tongue is hanging out, it's been a long year, but the season is almost over and you can relax ,take a breath, relax... almost time to enjoy the holidays.

Maybe it's not that way for you, but I'm dragging through doing this math here lately... so to me, not having to do points again until February is a reward!

I know some of you won't check in over the winter... so to you, I say thank you for participating, I wish you the best of luck, and I look forward to seeing all of you and and a friend when we return for Daytona in February to run the 2014 season.


Points and Congratulatory Remarks

Devin (MnteCrloSS47) is putting the pressure on me by winning at Phoenix! An impressive 1-2-3 finish (possibily the first time that has happened all year) won Phoenix for Devin....

The overall lead is held by a stout 112 points by myself going into the last race of the year.

The segment lead has a considerable 23 point advantage going into Homestead, held by butch049.

Overall

1) Cowboy6622 3492 Leader
2) MnteCrloSS47 3380 -112
3) BlazedSS 3363 -129
4) STUMPMI 3338 -154
5) monte carlo 3831 3316 -176
6) butch049 3289 -203
7) Ricks 2006 SS 3282 -210
8) 77GP 3269 -223
9) Leprechaun93 3261 -231
10) SSmeansSuperSexy 3257 -235
11) 02 Earnhardt 3243 -249
12) SupplySgt 3214 -278
13) carlm54stl 3182 -310
14) zjerry 3162 -330
15) RocknSS04 2057
16) 03JGMonte 1915
17) KCFITZ78 1903
18) silverfish33 1835
19) 05MistreSS 869
20) BocaReject 180
21) Evan 2000 160
22) DarrynSami 115
23) Lorenzo 114


Segment 4

1) butch049 919 Leader
2) monte carlo 3831 896 -23
3) Ricks 2006 SS 888 -31
4) carlm54stl 880 -39
5) Cowboy6622 880 -39
6) BlazedSS 875 -44
7) 02 Earnhardt 873 -46
8) STUMPMI 871 -48
9) SSmeansSuperSexy 857 -62
10) MnteCrloSS47 840 -79
11) zjerry 828 -91
12) KCFitz78 814 -105
13) 77GP 813 -106
14) Leprechaun93 764 -155
15) SupplySgt 742 -177



This Week at Homestead

For a couple of years, I had said that you should pick whoever is running for the title.... becuase in 2011, Edwards and Stewart ran 1-2 pretty mcuh everywehre. But last year, Keselowski and Johnson both fumbled... and we saw the 20 team fall part in Phoenix while the 48 ran well. I'm thinking the 48 may run well this week, but I don't see him taking any major chances or anything either.

Whiel the 20 has to dominate and win this race, I wonder if the pressure will get to them too. Jason Radcliffe seemed like he had been out in the desert too long the other day.


Also, Homestead is a track with graduated banking.... making it sort of like a Kansas or maybe a LAs Vegas, but the straightaway here alters your entry to 1 and 3 quite a bit compared to those tri ovals too...

HENDRICK

Jeff Gordon has a lot of top 5's and top 10's here, with only a couple of bad finishes at all. He got the win last year, and is running well in these last races here... plus, he tested..

Jimmie Johnson has never had to run to win here, and seems to have had some bad luck over the years here too. Last year, he was about to dominate and win this race... adn a couple years earlier, he ran 2nd ot Carl Edwards while trying to secure teh 2010 championship.

Dale Jr scored his first top 10 finish at Homestead last year... with a 10th place run.

Kasey Kahne is great on these tracsk... but he has wrecked a lot of cars this year. and he has a few top 5's here.

Childress Racing

Harvick has an average finish of 7.92 here... lots of top 10's at this track. Will Kevin win one more with Childress, kind of like how Stewart won with a crew chief who was leaving?

The other Childress cars... meh.

Furniture Row

Kurt Busch is good at falling apart at this last race of the year.... remmeber how he got fired at Penske

Stewart Haas

Newman might secure a 12th place run.... Danica will probably crash... Martin is just logging laps...


TOYOTA TEAMS


Gibbs
Kenseth has a win here in 07 and ran 18th last year... htat doesn't sound like championship winning numbers..... but, he has been among the best at 1.5's all year.... until August... so I don't see myself picking MatT Kenseth, stick a fork in him!

Kyle Busch is usually in survival mode when he gets to Homestead.. but ran 4th last year, 8th a few years back...

Hamster won this race once... but he just needs the year to be over too.

Michael Waltrip Racing

Clint Bowyer has run 2nd and 6th here in the last couple of years... so he is alright here. But the MWR guys have cheated, so what do you do?

Truex is on the way out... Sadler is his old self...

FORD TEAMS

Roush

Edwards has a great record here... 12th last year was his worst finish since 2004!!!! He's won twice, and loves this track too!

Biffle has been hit and miss, but won this race 3 years in a row 04-06.

Stenhouse might do okay piggy backing off hte others...

Petty

Aric Almirola has a 4th and a 7th here..... in 2010 and 2012. this guy is decent on 1.5s and good at Homestead. I'm looking at him....

Ambrose was unlucky 13 here...

Penske

Brad K doesn't have a single top 10 here....

Neither does Joey Logano....



My Picks

Wow... Ford 400, it's a Chevrolet forum, and I own two Ford's and a Chevroelt... hmm... .so lets try....

1) Kevin Harvick
2) Carl Edwards
3) Joey Logano

STUMPMI 11-10-2013 06:26 PM

48
29
88

Good luck EV1!

carlm54stl 11-10-2013 06:44 PM

1. #48 Jimmie Johnson
2. #29 Kevin Harvick
3. #99 Carl Edwards

02 Earnhardt Monte Carlo SS 11-11-2013 09:04 AM

Dale Jr
Carl Edwards
Brad Keselowski

Blazed SS 11-11-2013 10:01 AM

24
48
88

Cowboy6622 11-12-2013 04:12 PM

Anyone see where trevor bayne was diagnosed with multiple sclerosis

MnteCrloSS47 11-12-2013 04:18 PM


Originally Posted by Cowboy6622 (Post 581334)
Anyone see where trevor bayne was diagnosed with multiple sclerosis

I heard he can still race though right?

Cowboy6622 11-12-2013 07:14 PM

He can, yes. I look forward to watching him race for years to come... kid is younger than I am... and I'm young!

he still plans to run for a 2014 Nationwide title and wants to get to the Sprint Cup...


This guy has just had such a rough time.. he rose from obscurity to a Daytona 500 win, then down allegedly with Limes disease, which now appears to have been a first sign of MS coming out.... then he makes a romantic proposal on a ski slope, gets married mid week, wins a race in Iowa 5 days later.... now this....

STUMPMI 11-12-2013 08:50 PM


Originally Posted by Cowboy6622 (Post 581334)
Anyone see where trevor bayne was diagnosed with multiple sclerosis

aw it announced on channel 4 news today he has MS.... But he will still be able to race.:thumbsup: The team,owners are behind him 100%:)

77gp 11-14-2013 05:08 PM

Well here goes nothing!
Harvick
Logano
Bowyer
Been fun guys and hope to see you all back next year along with somenew guys. You shouldnt steer clear through winter because Duane always has new ideas and takes polls on them..Just saying!


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